Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delacina | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addasquecktoit | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sipping Firewater | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet I’m Not | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luckyhotstuff | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Heart’s On Fire | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red River | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | State School Smart | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Coast | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Remaining Nameless | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southfork | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Jesse | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sargent Frank | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Charter Oak | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolute Chaos | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allo Enry | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Max’s Map | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Plain Ornery | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northwind | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Count de Monet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Edge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tribest (ARG) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highwood | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s My Kindagirl | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maui Mistress | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cherbourg | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Nellie | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dontdrinkanddrive | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Fee’s Secret | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cherry Glen | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gettistown | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steely Eye | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shame On Steve | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D D’s Legacy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Golden Circle S.) – Golden Circle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Pride | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hola Joey | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Fly | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Williams Empire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lock and Load | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hasty Flyer | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rome’s Conquest | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Fly Stand By | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tell Me When | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Motown Dynamic | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | That’s Our Vision | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Vase | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caitlin Time | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singing Emma | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aloha Baby | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master Jane | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiki Krazy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.