Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Nafisa |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Runyon Canyon |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Church Lady (IRE) |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Time to Shine |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Double Cappuccino |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Authentic Grace |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Innovative |
5.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prestige Fungson |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eastwick |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Winds of Freedom |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cardinal Spirit |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Panuco |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nijinsky Halo |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cascabel |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Heber |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Right Hand Ryder |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Always On Cay |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trinidad |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Diamante Negro |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Momo’s Kiddo |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Littlebrotherjoey |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Devilnthebluegras |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Special Flower |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Kitty Kitana (GB) |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ace Ace Baby |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Free and Humble |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Diamond Bar Gal |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vegas Love |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dorie Miller |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Begin Again |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Klimt A. P. |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Audible Silence |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fincairn |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Daddy’s Quest |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alan’s Conquest |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
War Council |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr. Hussar |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Just a Graze |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Titanic Thompson |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Big Notion |
20.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bonneville Jim |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Highplainsdrifter |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brahms Mendelssohn |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Throwin Heat |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smiling Capote |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Drop the Bit |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Bill |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Oakley’s Smile |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mav Man |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Curlin Command |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
King of Clubs |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Windribbon |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Touchdown Brown |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mining District |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kerry Gold |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shortman |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal ‘n Rando |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Money Makes Money |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Bucky Charm |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mystic Spirit |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yacowlef (IRE) |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kangaroo Court |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Daniel’s Magic |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Final Storm |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hawker |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Natural Fighter (IRE) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Nameless |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Atomic Drop |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Happy Does |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kingmeister |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Druidic |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zimba Warrior |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Upstart Yankee |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crown Magic |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Contrary Chieftain |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sea Dog |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mizdirection S.) – Mizdirection S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Valence |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lunar Impact (GB) |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Roberts (GB) |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Venganza |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tahini |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chismosa |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Granny Budgie (GB) |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ang N Ash |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncorked (AUS) |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beyond Lucky |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.