Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dragoon Guard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tumbarumba | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Departure | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Will Take It | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Car Wash | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arro Smash | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Injunction | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Army Hero | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halfway Tempted | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Customer | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dan d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Spun to Run | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Seven | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Compadre | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mic Check | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wakuda | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clowning Around | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Purely Zen | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nanina (GER) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mother of Pearl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Munchkin | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Beretta | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caroom’s Croupier | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sweetheart | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flaming Mama | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lexgo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | A Rose for Skyler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lewinsky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Clarke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rivetage | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Metalhead | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Vino | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Plate | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Infinite Luck | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spoonie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Standard of Proof | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shattuck | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pierce Elevated | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandini | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ashes and Diamonds | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lolo Le Plume | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Antonia’s Flowers | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Churning Berni | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maddienlizzyshonor | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ez Tree Ates | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Many Mo Kisses | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bullet Baby | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aoraki | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Practical | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Note | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Empirical Mischief | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Commanded | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Bebsi | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mezcalifornia | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exington | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Anakarina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Tifeye | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Islander | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stipulate | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corposo | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viable | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn Rhythm | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ce La Vi Charli | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steampunk | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crushed Ice | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Devilish Desire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Penrod | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Legend | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canavero | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hasten | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On My Honor | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bottoms Up | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shriner | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rewire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Graydaria | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.