Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sloans Sky | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lillz Star | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Trick | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sake and Sushi | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Almasty’s Lust | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danish Cookie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | He Shoots He Wins | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fracen Macho | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frac Right | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Tempesta | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hanlan | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadfael | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indy One | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Isaac Leo | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dilwaala | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reggie Boy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fun Fella | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Royce | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nice Baby | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Maddelena | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Pecan | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Tormenta | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ala Turka | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shamra | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Home for a Rest | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Executive Success | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onejabtoomany | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bedtime | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rhaenyra | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arya’s Quest | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You Be the Judge | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reverse Psychology | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | War Strategy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Overload | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twin City | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poulin in O T | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ironstone | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky’s Not Falling | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maxine Magic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Serenade | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Purrfect Girl | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Closing Appeal | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Fiery One (GB) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annia Cornificia F | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’s Kandy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.