Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bolt On the Rocks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sombra Dorada | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Alabama | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Quality | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fun to Run | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lou Anna | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Candy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spice Runner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Compressed | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Dreamer | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sense of Freedom | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Vincent | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Named Knicki | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flash the Magic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Captain Gabe | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Wayne | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indy Magic | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ask Arthur | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Mor Story | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boys Code | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catalina Cat | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sprint Out Pass | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grant’s Gretchen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outfielder | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Speedo | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thebabeslayer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skipping Stars | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brea From Three | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Anubis | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moderator | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collecting | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fuzzy Stare | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honky Tonk Highway | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friar Laurence | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chiringo | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scat Free | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Furious Anger | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Blue | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy American | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shopper’s Revenge | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Map to the Stars | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gamblers Tail | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tour Player | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Money | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Optical | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Footprint | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Palm Tree | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Show of Force | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harrodsburg | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Attache | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bohemian Bo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cat On Time | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Eagles River | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banned for Life | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deer District | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Condemn | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nabokov | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sandy Bottom | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlit Lady | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paynt Ya Later | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run for the Hills | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Imperial | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bling | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Asternia | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Prankster | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Laura’s Charm | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jill Jitterbug | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carolo Rapido | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Strike | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gasoline | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Huge Bigly | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Metatron’s Muse | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roussette | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winston Wolf | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coppermaster | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Couperin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.