Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Kimmie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan’s Bond | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carol Said No | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soul Secret | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Santagata | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Sera | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amity Island | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Good Question | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sunday Gilt | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 8 | Mackville | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Dialbolico | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Western Wolf | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Majestic Arc | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Shakin the Belle | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 4 | One Vision | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Brave Bear | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Battleoflexington | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cumberland Blues | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palace Boss | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Licorice | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corvus | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Solo N in Love | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Higher Force | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | She’s Cool | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Toxic Girl | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Handle On You | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Welcome Back Babe | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | From Hello | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Bossy Jeans | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Sunday Tiff | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 10 | Political Spin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 14 | Bella Voce | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 13 | Rock Harbor | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Miss Spitfire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Lady Wisdom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Burninhunkoflove | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun It | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cees Get Degrees | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’smyhoneybadger | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spun and Won | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Leader | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Swagg | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hatch | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Storm | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Dreaming | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timing Difference | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barb | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sequential | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Closer | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nantz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Turriga | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Linarite | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Boston’s Phinest | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Top of the Table | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | I’m Kidding | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spirit of Esther | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Atlas | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Perugia | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Jasmine | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Bourbon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Event | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shock | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Quick Power Nap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Lika Rolling Stone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Phoebeinwonderland | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lil’ Regard | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Trail | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Officer | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nostalgic One | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brit’s Wit | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steel Vengeance | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hilliard | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Kings | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collect From Ike | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scat Tu Tap | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ride Up | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aint No Joke | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Gain | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Man Ira | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Three O Two | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Star | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sin Nombre | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masterwork | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Because the Night | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Paradise Creek S.) – Paradise Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Supersonic Blue | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clock Tower | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Assertiveness | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warheart | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Swift | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insubordination (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pivotal Moment | 2.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Sweep Joe | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat to Da Mat | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Freud’s Fancy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Broken Zipper | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Splendid One | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dear John | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank On Bebe | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ashdale | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Addagirl Addie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tizallmine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Castledell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady Looie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Syl’s Pleasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Loveumissumeanit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fire Agate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Trick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fauve | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alice Fantastic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.