Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Somnium | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Hype | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devilish One | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roja | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beyond Question | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Town Light | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veola | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Outta My Way | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justifiable Star | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Needy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parkerness | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’ll Do | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cassius | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Workout | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Portland | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kake’s Arrow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Into It | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cocktails At Noon | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hold Out | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hanksdiviningrod | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jus Too Fly | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vax a Nation | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missionaire | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passioned | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Badge of War | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Derbyness | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Set Ablaze | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On a Proud Note | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Trade | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatsyourbigidea | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder in Paris | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Irish Lass | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notiptoni | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just the Thing | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | U Know When U Know | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Respect the Law | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Roadrunner the Cat | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Sharmin | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Girl Lena | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bond’s Belle | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Magnolia Wind | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Mosler | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seap | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carolina Sun | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Any Fools Gold | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sippin’ Time | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Asknotwhatyoucando | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cheese | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Something Simple | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flying to Neptune | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Everett’s Song | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Afraidofthebunny | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bill of Rights | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Mose Perfect | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fan Club | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alvy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Group Ticket | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Holy Synchronicity | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mission North | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thataway | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coringa | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe the Jet | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King’s River | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mission Artemis | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elusive Image | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carvellian Quest | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Jefferson | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kendama | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Last Scip | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El de Larry | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Me Not | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uninvited Guest | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saketumi | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sell Something | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Big Star | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Khozan | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New York Panther | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.