Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pavlovian | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trump Era | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chase N Ryan | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Pippins | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokem and Love | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mesa Verde | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Melodee | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Del Oro | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | We’re in Trouble | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Virat | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | See Through It | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charge for Gold | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elwood Blues | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Santa Margarita S.) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seismic Beauty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Splendora | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Bella | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess of Time | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberal Lady | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s My Ring | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oveta’s Hobby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovin’ On the Run | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Headed for Om | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Splendid | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Midnight | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nokie | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Running Super | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saul Elliott | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love the Pressure | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Max Ciao | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy Delivers | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Help Myself | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jalisco | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Fritz | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Cardenas | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Notime for Squalls | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cyprus Moon | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Word Play (GB) | 1.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiaraqueen (GB) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Brightside (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upcharge | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polythene Pam | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Happyasaclam (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Lynn | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Twilight Empire | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stellar Cap | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cee’s the Image | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Discrepancy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Is | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 98 | Full Moon Grazen | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Saint Shelia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Catch the Breeze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mutaz | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broski (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unrivaled Hero | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West Is West | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rowan August | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Strike | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cornhuskerchris | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Magical | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Daddy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ryan’s Girl | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Muppet | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Miche Lada | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buds N Suds | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Matina | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Renatus | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Darlin Tami | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | All in the Game | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sexy Blue | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Butterfly Beach | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mimma | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ellen Jorth | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goatski | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Kiss | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ride Elbow Ranch | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Severe Clear | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mperfection | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zap the Command | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sei Bella | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Valley Fog | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.