Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sunny Isle Beach |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Laserjet |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Tango |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Psychedelic |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cora’s Legacy |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Mercedes |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Private Reserve |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bo Bo Dough |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Personal Jet |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
High Five Sy |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Promissione |
2.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Believe in Dreams |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pyromania |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silver Screen |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Eglise |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zambezi |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Explosively |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ludwig |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Market Street |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cloud Without Rein |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Bebedouro |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Cascade Cruiser |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
War and Majesty |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mobster |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Astar |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fateful Lightning |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Keen Talent |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
13 |
13 |
Western Run |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Esmark |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ambition |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Got Stripes |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Banded Humor |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nomolimbo |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Zap d’Etat |
20.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
14 |
14 |
Demetrius |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sardis |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Math Tutor |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Mighty Mike |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Miss Monroe County |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mink Stole |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Violences Ohr |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jeanie’s Faith |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Melly’s Birkin |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royalewithcheese |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crackle |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hope Restored |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Muscle Mommy |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Copper Missile |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Raguel |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lured Away |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sweetalkingbourbon |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Thunderer |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Full Armor |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unstable Prince |
4.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Googol Joke |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
She’s All Charm |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vive Veuve |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Takemetothebeach |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mo Fox Givin |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Streetwhereyoulive |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summerintahoe |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vinos Angel |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pharoah’s Wine |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Stellar Lily |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Krispy Rice |
30.00 |
12.1 |
23-1 |
14 |
14 |
Mercy Warren |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Windy Bay |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Secret Statement |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Standoutsensation |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Winning Colors S.) – Winning Colors S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Hope Road |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brightwork |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mink’s Palace |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Two Sharp |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Into Champagne |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Benedetta |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Arlington |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Easy Red |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Harbor Springs |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Backtrack |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
14 |
14 |
Fever Night |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Magnum Force |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Racing Driver |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coalmoon |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reverse Merger |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Conquering Cat |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Covert Law |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Brereton’s Baytown |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Strategic Force |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Development Fee |
4.50 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spirit Rags |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Tango Mike Mike |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gift Certificate |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.