Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spinelli | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Back Ring Buzz | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Le Sunshine | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spicy Princess | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Tap Coco | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Authentic Guitar | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flowerbomb | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bravo Kitten | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayernee | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Amore | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eloper | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Play Free Bird | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Humor Sense | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sals Dream Girl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allons | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Khosea | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Bright Flames | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blast Radius | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Lover | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Italian Symphony | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haberdashery | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thingsrgettinharry | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Federal Exchange | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Game Keeper | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Country Slew | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Tiger | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Shot Fired | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Preach | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willingness | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will of a Warrior | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Back in Business | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Firstflashofmoon | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theo’s Thunder | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Shall B First | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catalina Storm | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worth the Wait | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Give Me Options | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap Tap Russ | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ro Town | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broderie | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Darlin | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warda | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royally Blue | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drum Roll | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Cam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mean to Me | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Anthem | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Expectation | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | For the Thrill | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Gata Salvaje | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pola of Trouble | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Areacodefiveoone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Boundfortrouble | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torch Is Passed | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bucchero’s Dude | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neshume | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santal | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outta Money | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Catalytic | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beastly Speed | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiveeyesonskystars | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Thor (CHI) | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who’s the King | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lasso | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Train | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | El Tinmarin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
