Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Drinker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beachley | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Moon River | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Nellie | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Council’s Jazel | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Bileve | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Long May She Run | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chaparrita | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berea | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scoot Along | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Hillary | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Spirit | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dark Beauty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shakin Spice | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Friend | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Annie Peach | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saturdaynitealrite | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cuz We Love Brody | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Typhoon Time | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hola Joey | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Otto Go | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai Prince | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Got No Munny | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dialed in to Win | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Chairman | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stillbilly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Comprehend | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Hat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cavanal | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Reward | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Levi Gone Wild | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stud Bubba | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gold Tapper | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snap’n Tap | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ship Boss | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Just Cause | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eliot Ness | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Brakes | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Boy Blue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cankton’s Cowgirl | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deliziosa | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Maybelenne | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Firebaugh | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Gem | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reina Del Sur | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glamorous Life | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Measureofdevotion | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fit and Famous | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shabam | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marina’s Gold | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Racer | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undecoded | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom’s Girl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slick City Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Xcaret | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Niki | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Comforts Jazel | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jeri Dawn | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Music | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Suzzie’s Darlin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
