Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Homestead | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallant Lad | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lorraine (FR) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cooper | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snookie Bear | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Committed Games | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tasker | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Little Bit Risky | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodline | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Needy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buoyant | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kissling | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Estilo Magico | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Portland | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant Molly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lakeside Getaway | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sally’s Gold | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Girl | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T C Neigh | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweeterthanwhiskey | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Candy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of the Dance | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ade | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Lando | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G Q Worthy | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoppetosse | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mose Smokin | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Probably Dreaming | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Roscoe | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Papacito | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fair Trade | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatsyourbigidea | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bond’s Belle | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Irish Lass | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Debt Relief | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notiptoni | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ariel Moon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | New Boots | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Incinerator | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zip Line to Heaven | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katie’s Notion | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Island d’Lite | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Virginia Fitz | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enduring Gold | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dewy’s Beast | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Humor | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Benny Havens | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quincannon | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foggy Dew | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Prado Road | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Baby Oscar | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Keen Surge | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kunooz | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Twist ‘n Twirl | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elusive Image | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hyteck Prince | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rector | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Better Watch It | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Amazing Bernie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Kansas Comet | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Celtic Prince | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Birravino Blvd | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Too Many Kisses | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Flicker | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Charm | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Charm | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ginger Girl | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haint Blue | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secure’s Hope | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Trinket | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pneumo Warrior | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stars Align | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Happy This Day | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fahnee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Song Time | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Need a Miracle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.