Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mehlek | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chancel | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Hudson | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapture Bay | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Break the Spell | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hell Bent | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Meseeks | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Strega | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Flame | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That Girl Artemus | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She Makes a Point | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Logistics | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O Wow | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mason’s Music | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ashbury | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | U S Army Corps | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mt Logan | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Row | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Tourist | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Tempesta | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Arkle | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jo Daddy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gendragon | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Celentano | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Computer Hacker | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mister Holden | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Intent | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Mustard | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stonks | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Sneakers | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Smoke | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snookered | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Four K Force | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tourist’s Dream | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin’ Deputy | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leopardi | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sugar It’s Eli | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Moddassah | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Profesorridesagain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tazman | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justintimeforwine | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ninetyfour Expos | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mad Dog N Joe | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bachelor Pad | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Walter Me Lad | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Storm | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sailor’s Passion | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mannix (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rhumbaba | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Springer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stratus | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Man | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Hall | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Jacobo | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Snooze | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fun Fella | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Michaels Gift | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woodglen Court | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nycely | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Let’s Go Liam | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Castle Harbour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Please Don’t Go | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Drogon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ask in My Name | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mid Day Image | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bringer of Rain | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmies Big Day | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Embrace My Uncle | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Moment | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Military Force | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valley Victory | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canyouhearmerunnin | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | C C’s Kingdom | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yorkville | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zisisit (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Romance | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Black | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katherine’s Gem | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny Ro | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy Freeze | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Voice From Above | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lumberyard | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arami’s Speighster | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Send Money | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Field Hockey | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lasting Silence | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Test | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Baby Henry | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Slips | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monday Morning | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raise a Profit | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Iconic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
