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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 7, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kavanaugh 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Belmont Union 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Otto Nipoti 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Down the Line 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Cyberbeast 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Reaction 5.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Indy Rags 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Olivetti 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Our Magical Moon 12.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Noble Dynasty 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Likeness 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Hedge Ratio 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Magnum’s Macrobrst 20.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Teddy’s Rocket 2.00 2 4-1
9 9 Tartabull 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Jet Off 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ready for Trouble 4.50 1 2-1
1 2 Golden Degree 0.80 1.6 3-1
7 8 Olga 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Talkin in Cursive 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 7 I’m Buzzy 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Always Angels 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Despo’s Dream 8.00 4.8 9-1
1A 6 Proud Foot 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alluring Angel (GB) 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Vive Veuve 2.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Breath Away (GB) 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Immensitude (FR) 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Freedom Speaks 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Do Gooder 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sabalenka 15.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Amanda’s Folly 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Regaled 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Devil 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 The Closer 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Fiscal Drag 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Dew 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 The Crowley Cup 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Shadow Surge 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Luz de Guia 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Simone 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Baseball Lady 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Never Heather 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Spirit Doll 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Hoops Rivalry 4.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Wander Woman 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Revel Toast 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Seraphina Sea 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Oscar Bound 5.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Op Overlord 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Beach of Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Galway S.) – Galway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Love Cervere 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Abientot 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Make Haste (GB) 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Delightful Flame 20.00 5 10-1
2 2 Regalton (GB) 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Laurice 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Pop Idol 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Silsbee 6.00 7 13-1
13 13 Magnolia Prime 30.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 Hollygrove 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Roja 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Twirling Beauty 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Stone Smuggler 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Luna Louska 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Flat Out Time 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Proud Starlet 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Refuah 5.00 1 2-1
5 6 Mo for the King 10.00 1 2-1
7 8 Senegal 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 7 Iron Dome 1.40 2.5 5-1
3 3 Aelfgar 8.00 3.1 6-1
1A 5 Resilient Hero 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 2 First Pitch 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 9 Eric From Miami 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Toga Dan 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 10 Jaa Mode 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Supreme Song 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Stars and Strides 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cyclonite 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Insubordination (IRE) 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Candytown 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 States’ Rights 3.00 3 6-1
11 11 Winnebago (IRE) 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Valuation Metric 4.50 6.6 13-1
3 3 Landing Craft 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Griffin’s Wharf 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Solo Venturi 10.00 9.5 18-1
16 16 Ranger Battalion 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Maui Strong 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Fort Nelson 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Anegada 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Interceptor 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bakers Street 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Saratoga Snow 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Alittlebitnaughty 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Princess Summer 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Kissed by Karma 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Soho Nights 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 Lucy Playa 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Inamorata 6.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Mizty Fog 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lady Delilah 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Heart Collector 30.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Mischievous Trick 30.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Daytime Drama 30.00 12.6 24-1
15 15 Purest Performance 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Calling an Audible 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Addagirl Addie 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Saipan 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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