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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Michael G. Walsh Novice S.) – Michael G. Walsh Novice S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Clifton Down (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Little Trilby (GB) 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Walk The Warrior (IRE) 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Roja Redemption 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 L’Avvocato (FR) 12.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Carloun (IRE) 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Travesuras 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Evie’s Prince 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Quick Master 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Unlimitedpotential 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 My Noble Knight 1.80 1.5 3-1
2 2 Quiet Wisdom 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Pineapple Man 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Philharmonic 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Margin of Air 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stylish Gem 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rizz 5.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 My Devine One 4.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Rocket Robin 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 She’s Country 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Ryan Elizabeth 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Princess Celine 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Zelena 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Mia Sophia 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Magic in My Eyes 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Drake’s Passage 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Stowaway 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sheriff Bianco 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Gun Party 0.80 3.8 7-1
4 4 Olympic Dreams 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Eliminate 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 9 Breslau 1.40 1 2-1
1 2 Call Me Fast 3.50 3 6-1
4 5 Big Gain 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 1 Fromanothamutha 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 8 Sagamore Mischief 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 6 Concorde Spirit 20.00 6 11-1
1A 3 Gun It 3.50 SCRATCH
2 4 Stolen Base 1.40 SCRATCH
6 7 Swaggish 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Orie 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pazz the Soy Sauce 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Pandemic Hero 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Out of the Fog 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Cada Dia Mejor 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Klimt Master 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Dead Aim 30.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Armenian Dancer 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Liberty Rising 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Vibrant Express 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Let’s Get Weird 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Eighty Gold 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Melle Mel 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Spirit of Esther 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Timia 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Brooklyn Dantz 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Lookin to Rock 30.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Ragtime Sizzle 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 She’s Complicated 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Our Lady Peace 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Disco Star 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Boston’s Phinest 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Blossoming Erudite 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Trail of Gold 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Nonna Lynne 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hangover Heaven 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Queen Atlas 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stone Smuggler 1.20 SCRATCH
4 4 Lazy Y Legacy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Delightful Darling 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Two Bits 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Bint Mischief 4.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Quiet Street 8.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 R P Byrne (IRE) 8.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Lit Ship 3.50 9.3 18-1
8 8 Nelson’s Penny 15.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Grand Gala 15.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Lexico 15.00 10.3 19-1
15 15 Celebrity Quest 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 In Her Glory 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Keto Drink 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 So It Begins 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Santina 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bodacious Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sharing Wisdom (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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