Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Drama Code | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magna Tap | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uptono Buena | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Enticing | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Work Zone | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | War for Gold | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redfork | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel Gentleman | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Comply | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Power | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Muckity | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Bill | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobwhite Bobby | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Euromantic | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s All Ears | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brock On By | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Baby | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Trouble | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Spark | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T Bones Trick | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Vision | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fort Hood | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Lorenzo | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidetown | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Member | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weird Year | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Dad | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Brady | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’sskysthelimit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Angel | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Viewers Discretion | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cashmere Dancer | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missingyoucrazy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Diva | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fayette Blue | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Lady | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pass Line | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Queso Grande | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dance Man | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockets Red Flair | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Road to Eldorado | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Berry Mischievous | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | County Judge | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Baron | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Jack | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Major Griffin | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Competitive Bond | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Reader | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amarona Sioux | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel B. Havior | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cryptic Miss | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freckles Forever | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Treasure | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Sonrisa | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hank Hill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboycents | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tresillian | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bishop Creek | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stonington | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rickie Roooo Ster | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Country Boy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Ricardo | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Mother of Pearl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Ten I See | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jaunty | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girls Knicks Now | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Penny | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Echos of Violence | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scattered Mischief | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Cowgirl | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giveitaspin | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loquacious Louan | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Be the Glory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kilauea | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mo’o Lio | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Time Mark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sponge Bath | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imua Kai | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Commerce | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Help | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Okie Clipper | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t That a Kick | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Singing Dixie | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kantake | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.