Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sugar It’s Eli | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sammy Stone | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | North Warden | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anselmo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Tourist | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leopardi | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dare to Be King | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Shot | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing in Rio | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Baby Henry | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sol de Verano | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blondina’s Boy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grey Princess | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Flame | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Flag Flying | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Hay Paula | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strega | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | That Girl Artemus | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ladies Rum | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey N Ice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rhaenyra | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ami’s Girl | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Genius of Love | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bedazzle Me | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Periwinkle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reach for the Top | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olympic Fencer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blameless Ghost | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indy One | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wico (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catholic Jackie | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Left in My Dust | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Catch the Drift | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indiana Road | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poetic Amy | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Design Diva | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Easter Sunday Girl | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Hot Shot | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peggy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madam Gwen | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twisting Pistons | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Country Living | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Realm | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fifty B M G | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Daddy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bankingonamiracle | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frac Right | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yacht Boy | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cooler Man | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Next Pitch | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Criminal Intent | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Little Red Domi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brazilian Legacy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Like That | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Misty Eyed | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | This Is Gloria | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Momanda | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Em Chamas | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackmarsh | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One More Doll | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ecliptical Ladybug | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blaze of Mischief | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Aussie Hyper | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weapons Master | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.