Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Arwen | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speak Your Mind | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Irish Lass | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Justice | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Temper | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Style to Follow | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thea’s Theme | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Illusion of Hope | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thunder Boss | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Viking Queen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Salagadoola | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Kiss | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Recognize Me | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Dominance | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dubstep | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lino and Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Can Do | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fitness | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peach Tea | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Padrino’s Gold | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blonde Samaritan | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Smart Red | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Power and Glory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Te Amo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bella Mama | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Major Mayhem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Canadian Bear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Classicals Finale | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Step Lightly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scottish Storm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L Golden Boy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wyoming Class | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Ready | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weaponized | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Edgerton | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | St Pete’s Passion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kitty’s Son | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kohoutek | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Offensive | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mortal Sin | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Licorice | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | If I Were You | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Paw (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shellback | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fightnomoreforever | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Modica | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | K’s Storm Ready | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Owhatanite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Brewmaster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Petingas Twin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bouncer | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howgreatisnate | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karan’s Notion | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Jack | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scaramouche | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Card Trick | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Tiger | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Escape Key | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trevesso | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Sebastian | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have a Party | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ready to Fly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | The Last Scip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Big Big Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Noble Jon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Image | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mickey Shillelagh | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devil Pays in Gold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Always Laughing | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Dance | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yumyum Eat Em Up | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Uptown Girl | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chickieness | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.