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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 20, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Sheppard H.) – Jonathan Sheppard H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Givemefive (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Who’s Counting 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Hidden Path 10.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Jimmy P 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 The Insider (IRE) 15.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Quick Master 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Sweet Will (IRE) 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Zarak the Brave (FR) 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 R Disaster 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Striker Has Dial 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Legadema 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Patricia Ann 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 All Class 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chalky White 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mr Browns Town 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Mr. J 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Joinder 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Missing Brian 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kinnick 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Lexington Pike 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Antonino 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Jaxer 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amundson 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stewie 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Barksdale 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Jackson Heights 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Lost in Rome 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Acoustic Ave 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spirit of the Law 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Oat Coutour 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Zeus Lightning 30.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Askingforafriend 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Willpowered 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Klimt Master 30.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Before the Wind 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tizio 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ticket to Ride 2.50 1 2-1
13 13 Quinns Silent Roar 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Cara’s Dreamchaser 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Bella Bello Banker 20.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Hot Currency 3.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Celtic Dawn 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Unified Identity 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Midtown Mischief 5.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Bank Street 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Signal Chat 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Dancing Miracle 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Espresso Tini 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Last Call Jenna 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Passing Game 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Notah 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Hero’s Medal 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Flat On 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Register 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Call Me Fast 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Leading Contender 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Sky’s Not Falling 10.00 1 2-1
1A 15 Loco Abarrio 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Castle Island 30.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 He’s Got This 6.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Big Gain 10.00 9.2 17-1
1 10 Tut’s Revenge 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Saratoga Flash 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Ruse 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Johny’s Fireball 4.00 SCRATCH
9 8 It Can Be Done 15.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Son of a Birch 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Barnstorming 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Irwin (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Wonderful Justice (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Belouni (FR) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Darty Time 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 New Attitude (IRE) 8.00 1.1 2-1
13 13 Miss Im Pulsive 6.00 1.4 3-1
14 14 Laughing Lady 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Bolt House 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Kate Barry 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Gratefully 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Cara’s Chianti 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Aunt Nona 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Aerialist 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Victoriously 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Veola 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Grand Crossing 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sod Siren (FR) 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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