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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ambassador Blue 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Franklin Delano 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Feral 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Quiet Power 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bottas 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Amador 15.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Tartabull 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Grunge 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Conquering Force 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Akkadian 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Remember Mamba 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Activist Investing (GB) 3.50 1 2-1
1 3 Early Adopter (GB) 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Noted 30.00 3 6-1
7 7 Crystal Quest 2.50 4.9 9-1
2 1 Bakers Street 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Rungius 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Vesting (IRE) 3.00 6 11-1
3 2 Then 3.50 6.5 12-1
10 11 Society Man 2.50 SCRATCH
11 12 Le Gris 6.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Uncaged 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Beuys (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Bet the Gray 4.00 1 2-1
3 2 Touch of Magic 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 3 Five Bars 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 4 Icecreamforevryone 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 1 Glamorize 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 9 Tam Tam 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 8 Zen Yoga 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 6 Celebrity Quest 4.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Just Tell Anne 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Merica’s Back 2.00 1 2-1
7 8 Keepinitreal 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 9 Call Bob 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Eighty Gold 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mozambique 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Gamebred 20.00 4.8 9-1
1A 6 Alzero 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 2 Speightful Storm 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Liberty Rising 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 10 Long Pour 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 7 Coach Pitino 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Phoebeinwonderland 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Silsbee 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Marvelous Madison 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Annascaul 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Fabulous Fox 30.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Long Legged Queen 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Inflammabelle 10.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Turriga 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Olivia’s Grace 6.00 8 15-1
9 9 Valentine Gift 50.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Alpine Giant 8.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Quick Power Nap 10.00 10 19-1
11 11 Shaman Princess 50.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Unicorn Cake 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Nina Kay 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Running Rio 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My World 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dr. Kapur 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Big Dom 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Vino Vici 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Stimulate 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Old Time Rocknroll 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Dark Assault 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Peace Negotiator 30.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Paul’s Recovery 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Lake Placid S.) – Lake Placid S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 May Day Ready 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Play With Fire 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Warming 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Reining Flowers 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Scarlet Sands 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Eponine (IRE) 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gallant Greta 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Tongue Twister 4.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Summer Whirl 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Loveumissumeanit 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Spirit of Esther 15.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Roagna 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Dividend Recap 8.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 Lady Jasmine 50.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Backcheck 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Tralee Girl 8.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Vino Samara 30.00 11 21-1
15 15 Dream On Cara 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sweet Anniversary 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Island Fox 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Higher Force 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Honorable Becky 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Personal Ensign S.) – Personal Ensign S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Thorpedo Anna 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Raging Sea 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Randomized 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Leslie’s Rose 4.50 5 9-1
2 2 Dazzling Move 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dorth Vader 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Bernietakescharge 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.) – H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Midland Money 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Patch Adams 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Verifire 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Barnes 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Madaket Road 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Chancer McPatrick 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Captain Cook 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Smoken Wicked 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Resorts World Casino Ballerina S.) – Resorts World Casino Ballerina S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Scylla 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Hope Road 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 My Mane Squeeze 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Claret Beret 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Brightwork 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Halina’s Forte 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Majestic Oops 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Zeitlos 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mystic Lake 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Forego S.) – Forego S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Most Wanted 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Book’em Danno 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Bishops Bay 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Mullikin 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Extra Anejo 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Scotland 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Crazy Mason 10.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Doc Sullivan 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Over and Ollie 30.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Hold My Bourbon 30.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Full Moon Madness 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Draftkings Travers S.) – Draftkings Travers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sovereignty 0.40 1 2-1
3 3 Strategic Focus 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Magnitude 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 McAfee 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bracket Buster 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dancin Jane 2.50 1 2-1
13 13 Addagirl Addie 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Professor Grace 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sky Low Low 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Catholic Edition 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Argentiera 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Fire Agate 8.00 6.6 13-1
12 12 I Heard Somethings 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Amelia 10.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Bank On Bebe 30.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Tizallmine 50.00 10.3 19-1
8 8 Heavens Lee 30.00 10.8 20-1
15 15 My Gorgeous 50.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Princess Summer 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Forget Tomorrow 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rad Llama 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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