Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Jonathan Sheppard H.) – Jonathan Sheppard H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Givemefive (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Who’s Counting | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Path | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Insider (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Master | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St James the Great | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy P | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zarak the Brave (FR) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Will (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Funny Cide S.) – Funny Cide S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Toga Twist | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minorinconvenience | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fourth and One | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rumblyoungmanrumbl | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Essentially Fast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m Wide Awake | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vacation Dance | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Russi | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yarrow | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bosun | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clancy Fancy | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seaver | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Man Matty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bostontonian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Belouni (FR) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irwin (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tut’s Revenge | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Birch | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johny’s Fireball | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruse | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fredo | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Discotheque | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fiddling Felix | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solutions | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party With Smarty | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irrelevant | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Gesture | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cultivate | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Battle Drum (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2B | 10 | Complex Agenda | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Devil | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Hero Code | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reteko | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Noguchi | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Got Stripes | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Prove | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Captcha | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Extrasensory | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Metatron | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 12 | Last Man Standing | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Baron of Sealand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Freedom Trail | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funny Uncle | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Hours in a Day | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Mugatu | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lou | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Az U Chase Me | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solo Empire | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Masterwork | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (P. G. Johnson S. Presented By Snap-on) – P. G. Johnson S. Presented By Snap-on
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz in Sight | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scratch It | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vernon Valley | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Dream | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devilish Grin | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Brigid | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sushi | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blanchett | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Americathegreat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Revel Toast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scorch | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Knows | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doppio Espresso | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gigi Cake’s | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Mink | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catholic Vice | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Call | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honor the Numbers | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rudy Up | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Turkish Pistachio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Winrooski | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Imperia Blue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rosie Dozie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Oscar Bound | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Imminent Risk | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.