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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 29, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ro Town 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Super Ellie 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Empress Ellie 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 She’s a Joker 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Dea Matrona (FR) 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Madeira Wine 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Corporal Violette (IRE) 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Zeyaraat 20.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Carmen Miranda 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Drum Roll 12.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Shin Jidai (GB) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Hero 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Grinnell 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Lean Music Machine 15.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Springs 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hephepcutdownnets 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Unique Power 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Seattle Surf 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Magic Connection 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Divine Wind 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sunglow (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Helga Brandt (IRE) 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Halstyn Rose 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Double Bay (IRE) 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Rice Paddy 30.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Paarl 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Donata 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Magnificat 6.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Watershed Moment 20.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Sparrow 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Justivar 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Judicious 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Surf Song 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lady Chic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hard to Figure 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Spun Not Stirred 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Mighty Kai 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Malibu Rocks 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sprint Out Pass 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Bigredsandribeyes 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 It’s a Factor 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Skyquist 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Don’t Get Me Wrong 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Doing Time 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 No Joke Antares 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Bandolero 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Sleeper Sullivan 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Flashy Fritz 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Columnist 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Three Putt 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Unrivaled Time 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Third Beer 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Passion D Oro 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Mo Holland Drive 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mojo Mo 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Tiger in My Tank 8.00 1 2-1
9 8 Atomic Drop 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Ballyvaughan Gig 3.50 1.9 3-1
7 6 Nation 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Clever Clover 4.00 2.9 6-1
10 9 Jaime’s Commitment 30.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 El Diablo Rojo 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 So I’m Told 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Western Avenue 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Momo’s Kiddo 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 98 Broadway Unions 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Barbara T 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Imaboutago (IRE) 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Uncorked (AUS) 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Nay V Belle 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Miss Roberts (GB) 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Visually 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Home Game 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Egyptian Mau (SAF) 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Lovin’ On the Run 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ole Silver 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ivory Moon 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Gray Frost 3.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Twilight Empire 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Sweet Hello 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Putt for Dough 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lady Good Trouble 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Violet Storm 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Dallas Alice 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Illhaveanotherkiss 6.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Discrepancy 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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