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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 29, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Tax Implications (GB) 0.80 1 2-1
6 5 Poca Mucha 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Fun With Flags (IRE) 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Tour Jete 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Storm Miami (IRE) 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Fantasy Performer 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Khali Magic 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Our Liberty Belle 4.50 SCRATCH
1 7 Malu 2.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Just Music 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Americathegreat 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Steer Clear 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Academia 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Immaculate Moon 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Fancy Footwork 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Divine Passion 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Catchy 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Bernard Baruch S.) – Bernard Baruch S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Program Trading (GB) 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Northern Invader 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Donegal Momentum 2.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 General Jim 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tabeguache 50.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Major Dude 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 These Apples 10.00 1 2-1
4 3 Killy Start 2.50 2 4-1
5 4 It Takes Heart 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Edistrudis 5.00 3 6-1
1A 8 Miss Lao 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Equus 15.00 5 9-1
8 9 Whistler’s Style 4.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Shezanarcticqueen 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 7 April Antics 8.00 9 17-1
9 10 Book of Wisdom 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stickupwithoutagun 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pepper J 15.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Power Speed 2.50 2.6 5-1
11 11 Top Player 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Combat Mission 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Party in the Army 4.00 4 7-1
6 6 Charlie Hustle 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Three Two Won 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Speedstre 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Sir Walta 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Mission Critical 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Wamo 20.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 King of Fog 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Catchphrase 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Florida Flower 4.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Best Impression 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Harlan’s Bond 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Foxy Cara 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Santagata 20.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 La Grotte 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Danneel 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Always Practical 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Sailaway 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Brooklyn Styles 5.00 1 2-1
3 2 Freestate 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Exhibition Only 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Mo Spice 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Attfield 8.00 6.1 12-1
1A 11 Schwarzenegger 1.60 6.5 12-1
10 9 Green Screen 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Copa de Plata 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Fleet N Ready 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 12 Grunge 2.50 SCRATCH
12 13 Stream It 4.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Eske Castle (IRE) 1.60 SCRATCH
6 5 Supreme Good (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Connect the Stars 4.50 1 2-1
1A 11 Miss Picky 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Princess Andi 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Riyah Al Nil 50.00 5 9-1
10 10 Gin Joint 10.00 5 10-1
2 1 She Feels Stunning 2.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Concurrently 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sharing Wisdom (GB) 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Real Drama 15.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Give Your Best (IRE) 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 4 Always Ready 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Light Man 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 El Grande O 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Discreet Mischief 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Baby Yoda 2.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Comedy Town 4.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Light the Way 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Dubyuhnell 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Purpose 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Boxed Wine 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Margaux Treasure 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Cara’s Dreamweaver 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Higher Force 10.00 3 6-1
10 10 Second Chance 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Cha Cha Wren 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Capital Gal 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Grace and Grit 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Rodeo Star 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Perfect Sting S.) – Perfect Sting S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Raqiya (IRE) 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Proctor Street 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Les Reys (FR) 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 A Lilac Rolla (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 New Rome 30.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Vino Rouge 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Zadorsky 30.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 St. Benedicts Prep 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Our Pretty Woman 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ribaltagaia 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Key Actress 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bourbon Milk Punch 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Caviar Breakfast 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Magnum’s Microbrst 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Channel Check (GB) 3.50 5.1 10-1
10 10 Via Veneto 4.50 5.6 11-1
11 11 McKinzie’s Glory 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Sharon Horizons (IRE) 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Katerina Ristova 50.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Solo Vincere 30.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Victoriously 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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