Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trs Just Like Dutton | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Bit Restless | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ts Fly Like an Eagle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Affirmative | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Jessi | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Bolitas | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marfa Regime | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gal With Authority | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fanze Boy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isle B Bac | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rsecret Valentine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aces Flyin Bye | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Access Granted | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bv Regalo Blue | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D Explorer | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trs Snot Nose Kid | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itz About Tyme | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wagon Dashin | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jana Jean | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jtc Jess Bayou | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cotton Candy Sunset | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hayahlookatme | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Greek | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Rojo Vivo | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucys Major Mircle | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | As One Does | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Run Fire Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | W W Hotshot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Permafrost | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dagger Ranch | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dialed in to Win | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hola Joey | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brasa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wily Wade | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into the Deep | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Kingdom | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Boy Brawny | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wagon Power | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fallen Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Travelin Witch | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Selinus | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Raquel | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Om Sassy | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prettywittyandwise | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Mike | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Born Fearless | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lillabet | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Tapestry | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supine Duchess | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Angel | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K Dog | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margarita Twosday | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ice Again | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Western Command | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mash On the Gas | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bougie Joe | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J T’s Imagination | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doublecheck | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Native Hellraiser | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ships On Fire | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Better Than Good | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pleaseusetheportal | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Day Money | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bravo Kolt | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Blarney | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap the Brakes | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
