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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 30, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Imagine John 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Jolted 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Neigh Baby 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Waitin’onasunnyday 4.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Rare Eclipse 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Hong Kong Phooey 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 French Knight 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Same Old Story 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Two Ducks 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Diliello 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Twirling Lad 5.00 5 9-1
5 4 Constant Chaos 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Truman’s Commander 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 You’re Lookin Good 4.50 6.8 13-1
1 7 Coach Ryan 3.00 7.4 14-1
2 1 Gaming Wizard 12.00 8 15-1
10 10 Time to Roll 8.00 8.1 15-1
7 6 Black Silver 15.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Loinnir 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 Honoree 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 15 Jaxer 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 The Blue Wave 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Force 12.00 SCRATCH
15 16 The Obliterator 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jack’s World 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Runaway Joke 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 What’s Up Bro 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Factually Correct 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Ten Cent Town 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Trust Fund 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Braciole 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sheriff Bianco 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Creditworthy 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Set 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Final Verdict 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Twisted Filigree 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Urban Legend 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Antares 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bonus Move 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Crushed It 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Scythian 2.50 1 2-1
2 1 Tough Street 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Khali Magic 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Mitole’s Girl 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Embraceable Gal 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Midtown Lights 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 10 Bobby M’s Girl 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 7 Sweetest Princess 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Krystalheir 50.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Malu 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Accost 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Stradale 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Further Ado 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Souper Caliber 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Talkin 4.50 6.5 12-1
8 8 Tartabull 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Swiss Army Knife 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Dare Defying 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Silent Scheme 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Prioress S.) – Prioress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Long Neck Paula 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Delightful Claire 1.20 1.9 4-1
4 4 Stone Smuggler 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Flat Out Time 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Praying 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rojo Rita 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Our Magical Moon 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Grittiness 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Dragones 2.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Akkadian 10.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Buntus Foclora 12.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Ima Big Bad Wolf 6.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Universe 15.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Relevance 8.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Capo Di Tutti 12.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Frenchquarter Note 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Miriam’s Fire (GB) 12.00 1 2-1
4 3 Shoot It True 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 La Salvadorena 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Tales of The Heart (IRE) 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Granka 15.00 4.4 8-1
1 4 Dangherecomesshang (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Girls Rock 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Soloshot 15.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Mila Candy 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Midnightloveaffair 20.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Goodys Girl 50.00 9.6 18-1
14 14 Jackie the Joker 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Caribbean Wind 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Briland 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Biles (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Flower Bowl S.) – Flower Bowl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bellezza (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Be Your Best (IRE) 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 La Mehana (FR) 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Marksman Queen (GB) 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Long Ago (GB) 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Amber Cascade 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Madame Mischief 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Amanda’s Folly 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 In Time (FR) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Spinaway S.) – Spinaway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mythical 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Percy’s Bar 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Tommy Jo 2.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Sina 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Spirit Doll 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Rileytole 30.00 7 13-1
10 10 Day to Day 30.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Meringue 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ornellaia 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Steer Clear 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Whatchatalkinabout 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Surveillance 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Acoustic Ave 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Victory Way 4.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Speak Easy 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Locke and Key 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 War Stride 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Rookie Card 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Debt Limit (FR) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Candytown 8.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Laurel Valley 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Ramblin’ Wreck 8.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Main Beach 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Irish Gent (IRE) 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Waitlist 15.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Bulldoze 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Papiamento 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Without Caution 8.00 7.9 15-1
15 15 Leftembehind 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Rothschild 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hold Out 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Insurmountable 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Joey Muscles 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Georgia Magic 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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