Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Girlfromouterspace |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Titoschangedmyluck |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bunny Bonus |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sirenetta |
12.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fast Mule |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Leviosa |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Carcharoth |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sheer Dominance |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bottles |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prairie Dunes |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Whoosh |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wild Captain |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Travel Guide |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Melody’s Kiss |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ragtap Girl |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Love Like Crazy |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lost Love |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Breezy Dance |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Holy Kingdom |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Annmarie |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fuhgeddaboudit |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Put the Crazy Away |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mended We Stand |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sheza Bernardini |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Cinnamon |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Mission First |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Bogan |
1.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cojelo Pa Ti |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
We Miss Neil |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carnaby |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
River’s Gamble |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Marilyn M |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Distraction |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silent Wrath |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Instant Vision |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
J C’s Lovin’ Life |
1.20 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mischievous Twins |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
No Easy Days |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Get Set |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tap in Formation |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mega Charlie |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr Bayter |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Minister for Magic |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gordian Knot |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paradise Valley |
2.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Capo |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bernie’s Mitts |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dropline |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deposition |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Miss Easy |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mo’s Vino Mesa |
8.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spirited Ride |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ribbonsinherhair |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Emily’s On Fire |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Angelic Storm |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Union Belle |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
One of the Ones |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Problems Abound |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.