Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Juice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stars Align | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wikolia Lady | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fahnee | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intel Agent | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Grey Humor | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Brick | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Blessing | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | How Sweet She Is | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paradise Wins | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Sword | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Estocada | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischief Motion | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yo Adrian | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pancaken | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mysunshinegirl | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tutta Bella | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Song Time | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Hall Diva | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beshareit | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pleasant Embrace | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Bucchero | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alani | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Flicker | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Organized Chaos | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Hard Freeze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Impressiveness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mo’s Glitter | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Country Bumpkin | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Galan | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Five Minutes More | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Pencil Me In | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Patuxent | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Skullduggery | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chipotle Pepper | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wonder Girl | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afandi | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Kiss Yet | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Whirl | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watch Me Disappear | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spoils of War | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Can | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smalltownsmokeshow | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summerinthecountry | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neverworkedaday | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decorum | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steeler Nation | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Cry | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Albert Finnigan | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Twixt S.) – Twixt S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ragtime Belle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tipple | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Corningstone | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Bout Hilary | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Low Country Magic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | St. Benedicts Prep | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Central Avenue | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Matcha | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Foxy Junior | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Diva | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Close Up | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fab Girl | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anita Beer | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buckin’ Right | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Kinda Mischief | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gotta Be Da Shoes | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Partners | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feel the Bolt | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy’s Notion | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.