Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Paintthetownsilver | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Cohete | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yacht Boy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tutti Contenti | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bankingonamiracle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Next Pitch | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Highly Potent | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scuderia | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gone Hunting | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sluggernaut | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conn Smythe (GB) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Total Sensation | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heart of Spades | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Political Warfare | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Promising | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shotgun Wedding | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biles (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Periwinkle | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Family | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miramichi | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Making His Mark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Digital Security | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Japonka | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Bill | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quadzilla | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wunhappy Wabbit | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chanchito | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Star | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fog d’Oro | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gone With Duwyn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deputy Ghost | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amore Mio | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maker’s Flatter | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Puddles | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire and Wine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Cape | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Balboni’s Crew | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pelee Island | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Faith | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Bucchero | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Walking in Memphis | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kokomo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pipers Reign | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Has Diamonds | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flirting With Fire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Walter Me Lad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last American Exit | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crumlin Lad | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Crusader | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Echo With Laughter | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Alacran | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Peak | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Bo | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cadfael | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Women | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O Wow | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weehawken | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taquanyah | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snatched | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady in Red | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Retail Therapist | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Western Whirl | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Oz | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon Steel | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Truth | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Babbo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gilt Edge | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aim Don’t Miss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Livininthefastlane | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Ginger’s Holiday | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drogon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Michaels Gift | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Earning My Ears | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Globetrotting | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ringintheholiday | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ashuka | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Halcon Negro | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cosmostorm | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Z Hub | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gerald | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ghost Busted | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.