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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 12, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Lizzy 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bank Street 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Quinns Silent Roar 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ty Ty Rose 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Belloro 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Probable Angle 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Party With Smarty 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Metatron 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Dr. Insel 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Dew 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Aerate 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sergeant Capps 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Red Miller 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 My Man Matty 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 King Moonracer 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Torpedo Run 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Timaeus 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Masterwork 0.00 1 2-1
5A 5 Ride Up 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Heavyweight Champs 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Aleah Aleah 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ace It 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Swaggish 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dreamlike 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Register 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ragazzo Diabolico 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Commuted 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 House United 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ranger Battalion 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hot Spun 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Turkish Pistachio 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brockley Drive 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 L’Eclair 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Golden Miracle 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Honor Roll 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Full of Tact 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Credit Risk 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Never Heather 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Refuah 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Zapruder 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sebastianthe First 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 El de Larry 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Aelfgar 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cognoscenti 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Amplitude 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Kings and Queens 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 I’m Due 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 New Matthew 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sounds Like a Plan 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cicciobello 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Aggregation 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Leftembehind 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mighty Atlas 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Get a Job 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Palace Boss 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Buttah 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 A Lister 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Senegal 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Charles J 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Royal Browne 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Outtawaterbury 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 The Craftsman 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Terminal Velocity 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mo Kreesa 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Iron Max 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Annexperience 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Real Savvy 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Leading Contender 0.00 1 2-1
2A 2 War Officer 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Hero’s Medal 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Funny Uncle 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Flat On 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Just for Luck 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Heathguard 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Life and Light 0.00 1 2-1
14A 14 Frizzante 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Enlighten 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sassy Princess 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Final Denile 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Steadfast Resolve 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Right to Win (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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