Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Belloro | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ty Ty Rose | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Lizzy | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quinns Silent Roar | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bank Street | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Probable Angle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sergeant Capps | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dew | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party With Smarty | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Metatron | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aerate | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Miller | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Insel | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | My Man Matty | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Ride Up | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Timaeus | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heavyweight Champs | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Torpedo Run | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aleah Aleah | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Ace It | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Masterwork | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | King Moonracer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Swaggish | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamlike | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ranger Battalion | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | House United | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commuted | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Register | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Spun | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ragazzo Diabolico | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | L’Eclair | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turkish Pistachio | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Credit Risk | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full of Tact | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Miracle | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brockley Drive | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Roll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Never Heather | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sounds Like a Plan | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El de Larry | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amplitude | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cognoscenti | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Due | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zapruder | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aelfgar | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sebastianthe First | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Matthew | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Refuah | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kings and Queens | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aggregation | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get a Job | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Boss | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buttah | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cicciobello | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Atlas | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leftembehind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Real Savvy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Annexperience | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Browne | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Max | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Kreesa | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outtawaterbury | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charles J | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Craftsman | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Lister | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Senegal | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Terminal Velocity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Enlighten | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Right to Win (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | War Officer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steadfast Resolve | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just for Luck | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heathguard | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat On | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Princess | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Life and Light | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Funny Uncle | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Leading Contender | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hero’s Medal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Frizzante | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Final Denile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.