Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Manage Xpectations | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Good Time | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Bunny | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Costly | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mustang Lady | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hand It Over | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes of Gold | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lend It Tewmey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sutherland | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | W W Crazy | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kunshan Bridge | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go West | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Penrod | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J J’s Joker | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | J J’s Ranger | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alejandro | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Born Flawless | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orb of the Boro | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Highlight Show | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Diva Calling | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dragon Navy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlit Nite | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Kiss | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Authentic Angel | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten Gloves | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | String Music | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Pachi | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Thousand M P H | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Too Sweet | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Rosso | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brunia | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Killjoy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patton’s Tizzy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beezer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiverton (GB) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Burlsworth | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flotation Station | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Priority Lane | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Partyvicious | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Circle Tap | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stirring Words | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time for Music | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Confessional | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spun D M C | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trouble Calling | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Urgency | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Forefathers | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Authority | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ring Curl | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit of a Walkon | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canterville | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Helpful Howie | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Laughnowcrylater | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overstatement | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evening News | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excel Calculator | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Guardian | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Vino | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mintastic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Raising Kane | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Complex Music | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Papa Ken | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Deeds | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildncrazyguy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ganaas | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cuzin Roscoe | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Sensei | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naughton | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It Takes a Cowboy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Into the Beast | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Seven | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuzzbuster | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Complexed | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy King | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabourg | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Fuoco Vivo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apollo Eleven | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corona de Oro | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stable Hero | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mom’s Spaghetti | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frontier Justice | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pea Ridge | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Harrodsburg | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat On Time | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champlin | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Technique | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nova Rags | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kavod | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Luck | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ryvit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Rags | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Standard | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beck’s Dreamer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edifice | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty Beer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Come to Papa | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Traitour | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Andy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sinatra | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pyromania | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Rog | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.