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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 12, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arabella Stone 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Miss Kissem 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Stoik 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Separate Speacial 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Rr Jess a Legacy 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kvn Good One 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 First Painteddynasty 3.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Frans Dynasty 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Apollitical Menace 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Happy Wagon 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 You Gotta Famous 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bloody Valentine Z 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 B an Illusion 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Relentless Summer 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Roy Hobs 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Carolinas Cartel 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Monday Disastur 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Ls Mad Seis 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Hush Munny 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Marfa Regime 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Promised Oath 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Higher Path 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Dixie One 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Wicked Hot Foot 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Our Lockets Rocket 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 R F Express 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cloudy Holiday 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tango Mike Mike 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Moonlight Road 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Riding Double 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Perscripture 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Come On Mulitch 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shabam 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Chrome Racer 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Undecoded 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Hardly Mischievous 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Milliganmikeandme 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Marina’s Gold 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 C’S Lilly Dancer 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Lottery Ticket 3.50 1.9 3-1
1 1 R N B Baby 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Miss Control Freak 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Flirtin Again 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Esprit Rouge 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Thorn Crown 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Charlee Mae 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Skyboom 2.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Merasol Sugar 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 First Love 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Aloha Baby 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Shakin Spice 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Baxter 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Justice Once 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 My Rapha 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Macho Forty Five 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Edgy Lover 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Five Charlie 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Dontdrinkanddrive 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cavanal 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Guns 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Comprehend 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Dusan 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Kennedy’s Cause 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Royal and Ready 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Cutting Joke 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Parisian Promise 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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