Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Obliterator | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Froutien | 0.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Riddle | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsted | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Kaz | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Player | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trust Issues | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizmarkus | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sittin Chilly | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Social Hour | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three B’s | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shoot the Nickel | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Leading Contender | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of Sealand | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frizzante | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s the King | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mugatu | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lou | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Trumpet | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | B Raging On | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abrigado | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expressway | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phnom Penh | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rafa Junior | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Pressure (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fourth Dimension | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Force | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaz Brio | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Be Frank | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Via Della Spiga | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doomed | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Connection | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Guy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always Be Smart | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Bear | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broderick | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bernie Goes Boom | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Day One Starter | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Schoolyardsuperman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Credit History | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gordy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Versailles Road | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Machine | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Into the Light | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Paul’s Recovery | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | British Invasion (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Noble Dynasty | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honey’s to Blame | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quiet Power | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mount Sopris | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Henry | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spherical | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Rule | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geostoblame | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Donnadoyawanna | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gulfy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woodster | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dionysus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silvadar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clear Conscience | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Slapintheface | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saratoga Flash | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dear Chairman | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rabaja | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Trump | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seaver | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coinage | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Art | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Paddock Pastor | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cable Ready | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Grant | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Conman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Quiet Wisdom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Classicist | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valentinian | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tuscan Gold | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cut the Cord | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waitlist | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sturdy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mikealicious | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Makes Sense | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Floral Park S.) – Floral Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Gambolini | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dontlookbackatall | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Appeals | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bandonarun | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luna Louska | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patricia Ann | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Confidence | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rileys Redemption | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Class | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maybern | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hedge the Risk | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catalina Crush | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Life Story | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Union Express | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papiamento | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sanderson | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Kreesa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magni | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Your Mission | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landauer | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fever Night | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.