Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cocktail Humor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suitefourfourthree | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Autumn’s Turn | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chillow | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tailored for Joy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code Name Willow | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Wine | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trick of the Light | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nancy Made My Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | P J’s Song | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makizan | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prom Knight | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hello Sunshine | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Level Up | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mean Tweets | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mahomes Money | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Stalker | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Distant Winter (SAF) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stern Chaser | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Outofthe Blue | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiki Bar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Actress | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conch Fried Rice | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Party | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Group Ticket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin At Roses | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Santos to Wilson | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of Hollywood | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Feelucky Tonite | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catatumbo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caughtandcollected | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Style Me Royal | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remembering Wilbur | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Astride | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Java Tales | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Warm Up the Bus | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Echale Ganas | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ry Ry | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astrid | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Panchita | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forty Seven Smoker | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Chakra | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Chachy Run | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eimear | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mom Esterina | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | God I Need a Favor | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Vintage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amendment | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Virtual | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forget Tomorrow | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Feather Wish | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Babe | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eachpeachpearplum | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coda Mia | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Lena | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Dinamita | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Natural | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chloe’s Banker | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Armoured | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Affirmed Blessing | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adero | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Vine | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cadet Corps | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auto Glide | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quick to Accuse | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Point Dume | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vitality | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pappy’s Revenge | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Howgreatisnate | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Renewing Vows | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty the Giant | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Like a Dream | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Shanty | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classicals Finale | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Canadian Bear | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Centeya | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon N Lace | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Al Gimaam | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Smart Red | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Major Mayhem | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blonde Samaritan | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peach Tea | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rehoboth Avenue | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Mama | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Te Amo | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Royal Princess | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Prime | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Neolithica | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itsamonstamash | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harmony Road | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Green Eyed Monster | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Dreamer | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vieux Carre | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Valhalla Vixen | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oops and Downs | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Diana | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dance On Air | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rama Bama Lana | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nohai | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somethingtosay | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sweet and Feisty | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six Shooter Suzie | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vamonos Chicas | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth of June | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cartoon City | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jenny Bk’s On Fire | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gortreagh Gal | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Creed | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bolt | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hill Sparrow | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.