Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keraunos | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Sacrifice | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Mountain | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Muckity | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Spoatie | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magna Tap | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit One Out | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summer Splash | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speight and Malice | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Hot Rod | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perliano | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weird Year | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Absaroka | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dose’s Dream | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love Candy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Playing Hardball | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Proven Advocate | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mackinnon | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inca Empire | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ethical Judgement | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | T Bones Trick | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Lore | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bougie Like | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | We Hear You | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Find the Light | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warm Days | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passando | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Princess | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crown Thyme Queen | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Number | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closdatgate | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Sister | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coastal Brink | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Reid | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sivako | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Not Wine | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Team Leader | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mor Lana Spirit | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interstellar | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zia Zapper | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Axton | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clay’s Black Opal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lea Me Be | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cawkab | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Okie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Dad | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Brady | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Appleseed | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grapnel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Accelerate Judy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Tappy Tone | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Kinda Trouble | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marquette Warrior | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Okie Bling | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fayette Blue | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mola Mia | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dulcia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Business as Usual | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let Her Be | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | An Awesome Legacy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itty Bitty Baby | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Master | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Tornado | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foolish Affair | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Razors Edge | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cool Cowboy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Gun | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizabling | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty One Skidoo | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coalcowboy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Go Boss | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parkway | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Gunner | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twentyone N Change | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Rock | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laridae | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Okie Smoke | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Promise Code | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Scooby Doo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ooey Gooey Chewy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Peloton | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Devil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Papa Bill | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Legacy Account | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
