Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starvin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Snooze | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Matteo Run | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alzado | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Tongue | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Factor | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Audi’s World | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Capture | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katherine’s Gem | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lois Len | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Pyrite | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hay Hay Paula | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday With Amy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Beast | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classic Discovery | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meilani | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | On My Time | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scotch Mist | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lapin de Plage | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yorkton’s Taffy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Barrio | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinzie Girl | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Agenda | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backstreet Emma | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Goodnight | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nyaata | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Classica | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Serenity | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bertha | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phast Phoebe | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Is a Breeze | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fore Five Bucks | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Izzy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Moment | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good as Gone | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neenah | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tabei | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Magnificent | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxine Magic | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bet365 Summer S.) – Bet365 Summer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thesecretadversary (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Desert (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casson | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Out Hero | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marcus J | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Argos | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rude Procedure | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeframe | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Teddy’s Rocket | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bill of Ice | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Military Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jupiter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ontario Matron S.) – Ontario Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wild Pansy (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caitlinhergrtness | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Avenue Niel (IRE) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For Flying (BRZ) | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Literate | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Five Towns (GB) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fashionably Fab | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing N Dixie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hurricane Clair | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johanny | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talk to Ya Later | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blitz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Johnnie Walker Natalma S.) – Johnnie Walker Natalma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dance To The Music (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corsia Veloce | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pina Colada | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Mash | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deep Learning | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Fusion | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Law | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Star Attraction | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Culasse | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dyna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Rogers Woodbine Mile S.) – Rogers Woodbine Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Stripe (SAF) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notable Speech (GB) | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stanley House | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Win for the Money | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Prince | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gas Me Up | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Naptown | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunt Master | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wyoming Bill | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Branded Cities Vigil S.) – Branded Cities Vigil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Simcoe | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Achieved | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twin City | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Django | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Horsepower | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cruden Bay | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunt Master | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bachelor Pad | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Possiblemente | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly the W | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Romantic | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pierre | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jim’s Hope | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Map’s a Breeze | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grandson | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Posturing | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Bourbon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jayhawk | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Niagara Skyline | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lac Macaza | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Determinedly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Mambo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No More Options | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ironstone | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mason’s Gamble | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dai Vernon | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Junipero Serra | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Kiss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sedburys Ghost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.