Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Thirty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Country Club | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Hot Wife | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Z Train (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reign Champagne | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hope Restored | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Many Mo Kisses | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Sugar | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Interlock Empire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tejas | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battleoflexington | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schifty’s Haloid | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jr’s Gift | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truly Legit | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catalina Cat | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon State | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raising Kane | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Araucano | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flick | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Poppa Echo | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Utopian | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wizard of Yester | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Vengeance | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wartank | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Free Advice | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fly J’s Funtastic | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My King Air | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charisma | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Duty Calls | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coffee Talk | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ridge of Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I Did I Did | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Direct Strike | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roguishness | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Your Wildest Dream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beale Street Boy | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | September Silver | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bedeviled | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Jack Go | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonwalk | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Instant Impact | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | McIlroy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dive Bomber | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chance | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Caliente | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Linebacker | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good Lord | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hesper | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anthonian | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Avenue | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Bruiser | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Onthestage | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hayes Strike | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eastside Cool | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Background | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Yo | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Couperin | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Mojo | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Prince’s Spur | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | I’m Your Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Love Supreme | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gin’s Beach Road | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Muse | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quick to Charm | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodacious Beauty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bells of Maranello | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wella | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jewel Box | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Complex | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madison’s Charm | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complex Trick | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Betty Who | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ancient World | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Force | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boat | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kalahari Dreams | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sinister Smile | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gettinby | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shan | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guns Loaded | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yes It Tiz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Swede | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quietly | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Necessity | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lookster | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Dream | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ensorcell | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Blake | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Appeal | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Sexy Blonde | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | El Joury | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thestral | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Irish | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Feasible | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Choctaw | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Give Her Another | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royalewithcheese | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Theprincessfactor | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mombayla | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Freak City | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cowgirl Chic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Daisy Duke | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.