Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Denae | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Williston Warrior | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Housebuster Dude | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ravi | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Marcan Love | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sin Sin | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tug | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over Imagination | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Haileysfirstnotion | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spikezone | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Candy | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Howgreatisnate | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chipotle | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Hint | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Small Wonder S.) – Small Wonder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jumping the Gun | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirst for Hope | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Shenanigans | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doc’s Miracle | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J Candy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Heel Native | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tipmanee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Devil Pays in Gold | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You’re the One | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onyx Ten | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Cougar | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Bay | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Beauty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaladin | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Major Offensive | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Max Swagger | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Composer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arjay | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bold Licorice | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merging Traffic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | If I Were You | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shellback | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | K’s Storm Ready | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pure Realization | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Country Charlie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Electioneering | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (First State Dash S.) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Day Will Come | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Blue | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Supreme | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fowl Mouth | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lundi Loot | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code of Silence | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Probably Dreaming | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Future Blues | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magical Mondays | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crabs N Beer | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dominguez | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Flight | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Picture This | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sam Stormy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kerness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Thirty West | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Champion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Striking Sparks | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masakado | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord of War | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | H C Holiday | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | You Kidding Me | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inbound | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B Dawk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kick Startness | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eastbostonbenny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elvis Himself | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Hero | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hammer | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runyonesque | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boat Song | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mike’s Magic | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Song Runner | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Optical Bijou | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Epitaph | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | New Diamond | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Padrino’s Gold | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Summer Love | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fontabelle | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indy’s Universe | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ritz On Broadway | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lumenique | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hold On | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incan Moon Goddess | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Worst Idea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.