Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Denae | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Williston Warrior | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ravi | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Housebuster Dude | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sin Sin | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marcan Love | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Over Imagination | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tug | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spikezone | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haileysfirstnotion | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Howgreatisnate | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chipotle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Hint | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Candy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Small Wonder S.) – Small Wonder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jumping the Gun | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Shenanigans | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doc’s Miracle | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirst for Hope | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J Candy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Heel Native | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipmanee | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Onyx Ten | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You’re the One | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Beauty | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil Pays in Gold | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Cougar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Bay | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Major Offensive | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Swagger | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Composer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | If I Were You | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arjay | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merging Traffic | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaladin | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Country Charlie | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bold Licorice | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Electioneering | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shellback | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K’s Storm Ready | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pure Realization | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (First State Dash S.) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Day Will Come | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Blue | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Probably Dreaming | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lundi Loot | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fowl Mouth | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Supreme | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code of Silence | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Future Blues | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crabs N Beer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Mondays | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dominguez | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sam Stormy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Picture This | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Flight | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kerness | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Champion | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thirty West | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kick Startness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Dawk | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | H C Holiday | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masakado | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Sparks | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord of War | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inbound | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Kidding Me | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eastbostonbenny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Boat Song | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mike’s Magic | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Hero | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elvis Himself | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hammer | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runyonesque | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Optical Bijou | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song Runner | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Epitaph | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | New Diamond | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Padrino’s Gold | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy’s Universe | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fontabelle | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hold On | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ritz On Broadway | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lumenique | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Summer Love | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Worst Idea | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incan Moon Goddess | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.