Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rock Etiquette | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Techstar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Power | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minister Confessor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Esther | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half a Deck | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Fulton Gal | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Bright | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heybabyyougotit | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tortuga Coast | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | English Daddy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prime Motive | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boy Magic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gambe Forte | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Sebastian | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder Water | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sincerito | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candy Moonshine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meatballsforaries | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinda Clever | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Natures Fury | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Mischievous | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mezcalera | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ambiance | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Country Embrace | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasy Affair | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | In the Biz | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Companion | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Common Sense | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lunar Buzz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Social Storm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shy Shy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Kiss | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bossyness | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Judith’s Cross | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Penny Polka | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Once an Eagle | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hop to a Decision | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mikey’s Jewel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Reign | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Z First | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Center Stage | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Recognize Me | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lullaby Land | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saltamontes Diva | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Keep It Safe | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bossy Boots | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starry Hope | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bramble Bush | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Chez Soleil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Salagadoola | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gogo Chanel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Extremely Gruntled | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maximo Madness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Fool With Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Economics | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cahira’s Song | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Bella Genio | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runsweetly | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Gold Candy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C. C. Foxii | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unicycle | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brightness | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Motive | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Lucky | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Ready | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Last of Bad Boys | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viral Video | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Chill | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Call Mee Rex | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Caibo | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pujol | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alrasikh | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Ploy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Moonlit Frost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Mission | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Vacation | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Peridot Pendant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Eib Micrphn | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ritabook | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Believe in Magic | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coal Mine | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Crybaby | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Romance | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hot Fudge Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Opposite the Crowd | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boyd’s Band | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nat Gas | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lou’s Birthday | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Latin Rebel | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half a League | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Masterson | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Messi the Great | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.