Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | St. Brigid’s Cross | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baseball Lady | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pinky Brier | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back to Khali | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Megowan Street | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Forward | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Essence of Faith | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Battle Drum (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ski Bum | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suspiciously Named | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reteko | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Policy Change | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thorsness | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Merlot | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winegold | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nantz | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billy White Shoes (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Angel (IRE) | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kavanaugh | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fiscal Drag | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Refuah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Toby | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senegal | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo for the King | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Undisputed | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Pitch | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Come Full Circle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Counter Move | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twohonestmischief | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mozambique | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speightful Storm | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Cop | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chris’s Song | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ark Royal | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Debutante (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inesperee | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abundant Love | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seger Songs | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Channel Check (GB) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pemaquid | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Siyouni Flash (FR) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equitas | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Gorgeous | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Raghba | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Green Jobs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lady Meis (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Joseph A. Gimma S.) – Joseph A. Gimma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trading Trouble | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sacred Goddess | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grazie | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vernon Valley | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlottesuniverse | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nacho Problem | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Montreal | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arinata | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Margaret | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Geopolitics | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intentious | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Kidding | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Accelerated News | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Second Chance | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valentine Gift | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dame Catherine | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirteen Red Flags | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Timia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mayor of Midnight (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fuerteventura | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Master Piece (CHI) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be of Courage | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miztertonic | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Irwin (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kigali | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outsource | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Creation | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Haired Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Johny’s Fireball | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Whittington Park | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon Day | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Treaty Obligation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Middle Market | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Insubordination (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Ed | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nano Man | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blown Cover | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Korrongo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spinback | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready Set Twirl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Bear | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enduring Spirit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Derek’s Law | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tapwrits Temper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.