Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Our Consigliere | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Foxtrot | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Self Sufficient | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scatify | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Club | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Connection | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Figures | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sheer Lightning | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clam Beach | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McKenna Moon | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Hot Chick | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donde Esta Jefe | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obsidian Storm | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mahdi Mahdi | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Penny Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eastwick | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Going Great Guns | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buzz the Tower | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Dare | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rice Paddy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ridethelightning | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a One of One | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Ask Wy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scroll Up | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Z’s Wardrobe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Severe Clear | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Silver Girl | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Daze | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expressive Love | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Night | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thetribehasspoken | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Siempre Naman | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coconut Girl | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devine Marina | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Lithesome | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breville | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charmed Dream | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rumpus A. P. | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Kitten for Sue | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nine Fools | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lochmara | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C’Mon Lets Switch | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | If Not for Cas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Coin | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tina’s Princess | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Donal’s Homily | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Devil’s Bella | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kissed Lips | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | List My Biz | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 98 | Bella Chavela | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Case Hit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Otro Mas | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galland de Besos | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Geezer | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Topstitch | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Binging | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Call Zondlo | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Kidder | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cody Boy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Bet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rhino | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tamarando Star | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad to the Bones | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Six Hot Grands | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easy Breezy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Wager | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Majestic Palisades | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Devilnthebluegras | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Howbeit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bronko Nagurski | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slew’s Joy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jaime’s Commitment | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Vibes Only | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Info | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Distant Fleet | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Union Wave | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bobby’s Alibi | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.