Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sleepwalker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Sure Thing | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arise My Love | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pegster | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Pool | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk and Regret | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power and Glory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Dear Antonia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Charming | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Status | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a Lil Wicked | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judy G | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlene’s Spirit | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fiesta La Luna | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Zion | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Homestead | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Chunk | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Hero Code | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pietrelcina | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goodson Jameson | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tate’s War Cry | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deputy A. P. | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Entourage | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courageous Mission | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlit Frost | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Diversion | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suremeanttoobe | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All the Hardways | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wickeddivine | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Divino Nino | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Decorum | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Unity | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Class Photo | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bring Me a Check | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Foot | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Hagen | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Covert Kat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coronova | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Likebelivingnmagic | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mailman Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kbcya Later | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hay Chief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Victim | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love You More | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Destination | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shout to the Lord | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over My Cents | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Persian | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cross of Valor | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chilly Girl | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Italia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lazlo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vax a Nation | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coiled | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jhirsch | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zevon | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskeyinthejaro | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Owhatanite | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Jackal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Meg | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Weather Vane S.) – Weather Vane S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | G W’s Girl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Social Fortress | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maida | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquerthosewecan | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burner Account | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Endorse | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Volleyballprincess | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Safe Trust | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Juris Doctor | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Richard Feynman | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Lightning | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monterrey | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Se Thar Barr | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sever | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McRavin | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.