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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blame It On Abby 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Can You Dream 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Cash in Toknight 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Training Good 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Pepper Shaker 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Whopper Factor 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Godbless Her 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Violets Song 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coldasice 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Feisty Mitole 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Grazen Touch 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Princess Daddy 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 My Best Gift 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Munnings Tale 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Mrazek’s Old Dream 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sea Dog 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Resemblance 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mighty Kai 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 It’s a Factor 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Three Georges 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Wild Recruit 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Don’t Get Me Wrong 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Outrageous 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Auditory 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Rose of Jericho 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Uffda 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Lady of Sky 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Roman Empress 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Miss Joannie 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Liquid Spirit 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Elegant Sway 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Dancing Soul 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Carmen Miranda 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Sensational Z Z 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Cioppina Pasadina 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Act of Serendipity 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Keychain Girl 30.00 8 15-1
10 10 Lady Run 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Broken Circle 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jalisco 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Desert Dawg 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Marcos Performance 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 A. P. Again 3.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 In the Mix 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Opus Uno 2.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Lady Victoria 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Smiling Carmen 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Very Quiet 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sexy Blue 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Timekeeper’s Charm 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Penny Worth 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Knead the Dough 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Luck Happens 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Tina Turner 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 North Lake 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Cote Blanc 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shop Till You Drop 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Danzing Cat 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Strange Addiction 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Eltonsingsanother 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Anna’s Wish 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ready Jet Go 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Flymetothemoonbaby 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 It Is Written 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heartfull of Joy 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Only After Midnite 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Free Nomination 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mamarando 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Rebelexis 20.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Crystal Street 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Daddygaveittome 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 U R My Destiny 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 A Clear Behest 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Clooney 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Man Child 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Cathal (IRE) 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Baladi 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Shortman 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Big Juanito 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Money Run 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Leading 3.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Mining District 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Yacowlef (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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