Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | McKinzie’s Glory | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Les Is Best | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Game | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risky Wave | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sevenon | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Added Touch | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin’ Nancy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lindy Can | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sohana | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just an Opinion | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Argan | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starcourt | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Golden Road | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elliott Moon | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Albans Raid | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fly Guy Mick | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Globalist | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Quote | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Weaponized | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where Y’at | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Ranch | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Dominus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Breeze | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Current Climate | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Lover | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Always Angels | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liuzza | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Antique Silver | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J Rivers | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Story Hour | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crushed Ice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Asian Matriarch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fashion Designer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lets Shance It | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quality Ami | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honfleur | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soaring High | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theoretical | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Counting Stars | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coco Connect | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Funny Bunny | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Glenda Faye | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juno Palace | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie Blue | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tam Tam | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Elite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bella Ballerina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Essential Coffee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Common Defense | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zverev | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daunt | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barricade | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big to Do | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Malibu | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | King Curlin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mount Rundle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Carolo Rapido | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Navajo Warrior | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hop Sing | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Promise | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Player | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | De’ Medici | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Nelson | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Shot | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coalmoon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jonathan’s Song | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Matinee Idol | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chillax | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Up Country | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bisou | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monopoli | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Crisis Manager | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodson | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Man | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Voulezvous | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shallus | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Boy Rocket | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.