Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Running Game | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Les Is Best | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McKinzie’s Glory | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risky Wave | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Added Touch | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin’ Nancy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lindy Can | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sevenon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sohana | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just an Opinion | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St. Albans Raid | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Argan | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starcourt | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Golden Road | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elliott Moon | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Globalist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Global Quote | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Guy Mick | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Dominus | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weaponized | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where Y’at | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Ranch | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Breeze | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liuzza | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Lover | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Always Angels | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Current Climate | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antique Silver | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | J Rivers | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Story Hour | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asian Matriarch | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crushed Ice | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tam Tam | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fashion Designer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Counting Stars | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honfleur | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bella Ballerina | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soaring High | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theoretical | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Essential Coffee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quality Ami | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Elite | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Funny Bunny | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie Blue | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lets Shance It | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | My Glenda Faye | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coco Connect | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juno Palace | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Common Defense | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zverev | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Malibu | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barricade | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Rundle | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daunt | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Curlin | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carolo Rapido | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big to Do | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hop Sing | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Promise | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Navajo Warrior | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Nelson | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Player | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Shot | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coalmoon | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | De’ Medici | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jonathan’s Song | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chillax | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matinee Idol | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Up Country | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Man | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Crisis Manager | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monopoli | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodson | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Boy Rocket | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bisou | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Voulezvous | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shallus | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.