Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Anniversary | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Straca | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Higher Force | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capital Gal | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amy’s Light | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream On Cara | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Looms Boldly | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’smyhoneybadger | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Screaming Uncle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fromanothamutha | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conniving | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Honorary Degree | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dangerous Ride | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | National Archive | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Concerto | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Badge | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pookie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trail of Gold | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cha Cha Tap | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Widdershins | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Purloin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Walk With Me | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Orie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Out of the Fog | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Let’s Get Weird | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tomschickenfingers | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gamebred | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ridolfi | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anmolo | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fric and Frac | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Dervish | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sammy C Note | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Commish | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pazz the Soy Sauce | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trinity River | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Until Last Call | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Eighty Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lodato | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bostontonian | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Wide Awake | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Factually Correct | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yo Banana Boy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stewie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Braciole | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheriff Bianco | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | On the Hill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ten Cent Town | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Diliello | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pepper J | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Roll | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kuleana | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Newlyn | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Reign It In | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talk to Me Jimmy | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zip for Rick | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Little At First | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Smartkenzie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Beldame S.) – Beldame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Randomized | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Intention | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Song | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Music | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Oops | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speed of Sound | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Anticipation | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Parade Ring (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Legged Queen | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | West Loop | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Phoebeinwonderland | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kyla’s Kause | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Leslie’s Star | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Athena (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inflammabelle | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Elegant | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shesinamood | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | No Factor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | That’s Funny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Itwillbefun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gold Stamp | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Lad | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tim and Sam | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hellz Kitchen | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack’s World | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gaming Wizard | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kotlikoff | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Blue Wave | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Speedstre | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack’s Mac | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bold Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Coach Ryan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Followill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.