Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Section |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Horse of the Sea |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Western Warrior |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Herbs Bolt |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hayes Goal |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coach Rudy |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tisum |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shipman |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Beezer |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vertrauen |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flotation Station |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
String Theory |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer in Aiken |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mustang Lady |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mombayla |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Onmywaytosavthday |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Animal Fries |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wild Acclaim |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aggro |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiz Salty |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Maki Monarchy |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Message of Hope (IRE) |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dr. Saikali |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bon Temps |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Liam’s Lagoon |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ice Wolf |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ky Do Declare |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
City of Life |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roc and Ready Jo |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aubrey’s Max |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ashes and Diamonds |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kissin Cash |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Purple and Gold |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Romanaya |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Twisted Viper |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Volatile Jinny |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s All Red |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Strong Destiny |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sensing Flatter |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sonhador |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Absolute Honor |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Delicious Diva |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crimsonite |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whitethorn |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Stradale |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Spirit of Royal |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prime Suspect |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Inordinary |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
16 |
16 |
Confessional |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Gun |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Moneyman |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flash of Chaos |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reckless |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
14 |
14 |
Rockies Balboa |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Show Me the Munny |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tripp’s Promise |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
15 |
15 |
Steel Golden |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wood You Dare |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starmetal |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mister Landry |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Nudge |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Warden |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Escalation Clause |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fielding |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baytown Bruiser |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mega Magic |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Express Line |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lou’s Legacy |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
L. A. Woman |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sharp Smile |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bundle |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Low Key |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Claire’s Run |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Union Mist |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Classy’n Connected |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Being Myself |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lobby Rendezvous |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Contrary |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hidden Quarry |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quinn’s Promise |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grayleigh |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Trusty Troutman |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spying |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Malibu Smart |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Take Charge Omaha |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sunset Beauty |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vino Tiempo |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Faire Plaisir |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Asian Matriarch |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.