Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hamlin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bernardo | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Denizen | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Ortiz | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Reign | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heats Hero | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow the Star | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Social Sooner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Running Flat Out | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tigersaurus Rex | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right Cider | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chi Town Road | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legend’s Journey | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Gentleman | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Da Chief | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Devils Road | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sound of Victory | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quarterly Report | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Runner | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vestes | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Haskelled | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grandsonsam | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gunny Highway | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Adolis | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Griffin | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Baron | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Our Moon Pie | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Work Zone | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warhammer | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Enticing | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yougotthisjr | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Native | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keep Up the Pace | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War for Gold | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Squeaker | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Imaluckycharm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ziti (FR) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Davina | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faith Alone | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | County Slugger | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Express | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Angel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Karat Cake | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Ivonne | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Light the Code | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simmeron | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Peloton | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buck Lake | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | In Bond We Trust | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touchdown Oklahoma | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Alive | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Isaidwhatisaid | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eurostormsurvivor | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Brave Okie | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Lockout | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gunflash | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trust Daddy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Moment | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J. P. Race | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zavala | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Stoops | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Washita Valley | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bar Room Buddy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atreidesreflection | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Fact | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brody’s Chrome | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boozeintheblender | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Kitty | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Tapiture | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Happy N Smiling | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reseda | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flyin Withthe Boss | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cayman Hot | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dude Ranch | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Tornado | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Checker’s Song | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prairie Brat | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Spite of It | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nalla D | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itty Bitty Baby | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sheri’s Prada | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Now We Go | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.