Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Decapo | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reno | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mescalero | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe’s Candy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiddo Light | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flaubert | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Life | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Step It Out (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girlcanthelpit | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Rider | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Mihiel | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exington | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Umbralle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surfin’ U. S. A. | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Essential Lady | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ramayana | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Darlin’ Duchess | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmo Friday | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atina Liz | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kizazi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Robarando | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spiritist | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seager Man | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whats the Buzz | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten in Charge | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excessive Thievery | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uplift | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Justivar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Church Lady (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Without a Pout (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eastwick | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Flirt | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Song | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Bay (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dramaticattraction | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Godavri | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Fresno | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Delight | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big A’s Little One | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Newport Dreamz | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turkey Bird | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jennys Wine Girl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly At Knight | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Lady Gregory | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Miss | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Willow Cove | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Press Your Luck | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freya | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amanda Rose | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Wildcat | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rizzleberry Rose | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Quick Omen | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Brookys Gal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Austonian | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Flyer | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saqeel | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come Out Fighting | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upstart Yankee | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset Storm | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Palisades | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Spin | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rehearsal (IRE) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infinity Dream | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caitlin Fever | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildfire Princess | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strawberry Tizzy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thea | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nakota (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gladly | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.