Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conn Smythe (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Total Sensation | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waheela | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Jacobo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Effect | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chambers | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Strider | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Somekinda Mischief | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Almasty | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speedy Connection | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Please Don’t Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Soulmate | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swan Lake | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Dude a Breeze | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Media Sensation | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Bo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ask in My Name | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C C’s Kingdom | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sherif Ali | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Jump | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sparklet | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar It’s Eli | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pet Sounds | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anselmo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North Warden | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moddassah | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jay Bird | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gendragon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dare to Be King | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Smoke | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dryden | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exchange Day | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banker’s Hours | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fairway to Heaven | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kinetic Stone | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dissectologist | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Causin’ Mayhem | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harper City | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Galvaston | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Fortune | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mitole Power | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caught Speeding | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wico (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adelaide Court | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ry Pie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Baby Henry | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander At Sea | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Backonthechaingang | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Threat | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Romance | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crucial Taunt | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glintindaddyseye | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cooler Man | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Livininthefastlane | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Lew | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glorious Revenge | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aim Don’t Miss | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ashuka | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Jello | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Train | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halcon Negro | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highland Rocky | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wanna’s Legacy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.