Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Authentic Gem | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manoah’s Glory | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moral Power | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Than Cute | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stonecoldhandsome | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paynted Lion | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Alley | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donut Dust | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sugar On Fire | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duck Duck Goose | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Heist | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Al Ameeq | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disturbed | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Hammer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Living Water | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Granted Success | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nancy Made My Day | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Man Woody | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muazarah | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Myluckeyvalentine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prime Motive | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Freud | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Forest | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Long Astride | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Be Honest | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Valore | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hatmaker Gizmo | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Supreme Being | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blackwater Falls | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Colora Kid | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Realization | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Buoyant | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Project Maximus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slick Merlin | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Law School | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Hall | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rosies Cornet | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neon Sunset | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Resolana | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dopamine | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capos Sugar Kane | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downanddirtydonna | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | For Arrogate | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loveontheleftbank | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magica | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autumn’s Turn | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Dandy Vandy (FR) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Paris Gold | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Turtle Love | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Prowler | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khokela Miss | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stone Cold Kelly | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Firestreak | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Liberta (IRE) | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eskenforave and Ak | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Always Authentic | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Houlton | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Private Desire | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chatham Up | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Energize | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Chocolate | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fightertown | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | In the Dance | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Easter Bet | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty the Giant | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doin This | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Stott | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Christiana S.) – Christiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sigh No More (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Lavish (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ambaya | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Jinx It | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Velocity | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischief in Motion | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Darn Pretty (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starry Night | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conch Fried Rice | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delayed | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Endine S.) – Endine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Girl | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Striker Has Dial | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Ops | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alani | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Clouds | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Admiral Hopper | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Kent S.) – Kent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Geometry | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maui Strong | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | King of Ashes | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Church and State | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soleil Volant | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thundering | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snookie Bear | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Frozen | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dreambuilder | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hope’s Alive | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Versus | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ohio Joe | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Wine | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vamonos Chicas | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gortreagh Gal | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Catalina | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven’s Magic | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maddie’s Notion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Xochil | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bolt | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleeting Memory | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Denim N Lace | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madison County | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.