Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Terrace Hill S.) – Terrace Hill S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ab Boogie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Officer Smith |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Call a Runaway |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cowboy 123 |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flying Finn |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lil Quick as a Wink |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Polk County Derby) – Polk County Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ajs Favorite Ia |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jesszees Girl |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Talk About Me Later |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kiss Me I Am Famous |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Divas Lil Wagon |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hes a Wild Dream |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pyc Force |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Happyhoursomewhere |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Summerhill Fly Girl |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cr Freighttrain |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Future Of Iowa S.) – Future Of Iowa S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Foxy Cowgirl |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Imma Southern Bell |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Trapper Gurl |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prize Flyter |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kool Lil Wink |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Perrys Special K |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
D Explorer |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ts Fast as My Gto |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Summerhill Express |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Rm Flyeasycash |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Th Alota Rip |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Royal Candy King |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Takin It to Go |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rebas First Kiss |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Corona Streakin Jess |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cr Grey Goose |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Apollitical Rush |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ivory Attack |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ts Daddys Girl |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sfs Shooting Cowgirl |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
6 |
6 |
Painted Tres Sign |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
I Like It Black |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready Time |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Greasepaintgroucho |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foxton |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Margarita Twosday |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Free Kisses |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fallen Star |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Saturdaynitealrite |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Finlond |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deep Threat |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classic Cash |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Olivia’s Hope |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sunset for Sandra |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
R N B Baby |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blue Annie Peach |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Donna Reed S.) – Donna Reed S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Miss Peach |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shezawildstorm |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
C’Mon Lucky |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flat Out Rose |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ellll E |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sing Lucy Sing |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Dan Johnson Sprint S.) – Dan Johnson Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Glengarry |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wearacap |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wildatlanticstorm |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Palace Guard |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dawson’s Storm |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lil Screecher |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
On a Hunch |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Governor Terry E. Branstad S.) – Governor Terry E. Branstad S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ain’t Life Grand |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tee Off Time |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Specialsortastorm |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Iowa Club |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rockin the Dad Bod |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seventeen Black |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Finish Up |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Iowa Breeders’ Derby) – Iowa Breeders’ Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Amorosa |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jack’s Time |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Romance |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mo Lute |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baxter |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dontdrinkanddrive |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ante Meridiem |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quietline |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Iowa Classic Distaff Sprint S.) – Iowa Classic Distaff Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Demidanu |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Won Happy Mama |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sayucan |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Delacina |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beautifly Troubl’d |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sipping Firewater |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Skyboom |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Alexiana |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dreaminonthenile |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Iowa Cradle S.) – Iowa Cradle S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Crux |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tobin Lee |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vandor |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kearney Street |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Outmatch |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
K B’s Street |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mister J. P. |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Biz |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Omero |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ambrose |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Iowa Breeders’ Oaks) – Iowa Breeders’ Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Kanojo |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jackie Sparrow |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Esperanza’s Spirit |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Glad Von D |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Addy Up |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aintnoshakin Kid |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mind Your Mo |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Unspoken Truth |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dixie Surprise |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
1 |
1 |
No Rhyme Or Reason |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Iowa Sorority S.) – Iowa Sorority S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lady Captain |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Glengloria |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sic’ Em’ Sis |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lets Shakeit Sugar |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Somavia |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Anchored in Love |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Iso Lucky |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Allen’s Agenda |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Husker |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sammy the Shark |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
3 |
3 |
Strollin Wild |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.